LABELED FAIR REFERENCES · LIVE MARKET PRICES
Know what a bet is worth before you make it.
FairLine labels the source behind each fair reference. The evaluator prefers Pinnacle, then sportsbook consensus or Kalshi. Game boards place current book prices beside the Pinnacle no-vig line when it is available. You can also price Kalshi orders and track whether your logged bets beat the close.
Live prices from the books we track · every fair reference labeled · no sportsbook affiliation
Methods, limits, and tracked records stay visible.
Labeled references. Fair odds support price comparison. The tracked MLB pocket carries its limits and full record.
Fractional-Kelly sizing. The evaluator labels its fractional-Kelly stake and the probability assumption behind it.
Complete records. Every graded result in the tracked experiments stays on the board: wins, losses, and the sample-size warnings.
Published methods. Model inputs use free public data. Methodology and point-in-time backtests remain available.
Every tool helps you decide whether a price is worth taking.
TOOLS
BEFORE YOU BET
See today's board
The no-vig break-even from the best labeled reference for each listed game and market, with every book we track priced against it and line movement beside it. Line shopping without leaving the game page.
Dashboard →WHEN YOU HAVE A PRICE
Evaluate any price
Type your book's odds and get the no-vig break-even from the labeled reference, your edge (even when it's negative), and the best number on the board.
Evaluate →AFTER YOU BET
Price your slip, watch CLV
Drop in a screenshot and every leg still standing gets priced off the market, no retyping. Each logged bet keeps its entry price and closing reference, so you can see whether the market moved toward your number.
My Bets →PROJECTION MODELS
Independent model context
FairLine publishes independent MLB, NHL, EPL and NFL projections built from free public data. The fixed MLB study measured a 4.2-point typical gap from the Pinnacle close. A forward, preregistered version of that comparison is pending data. The transparency page also shows live graded calibration by sport. Use the models as labeled context when a market is thin or moving.
Every claim carries its evidence status.
Transparency →4.2 pts
mean absolute model-to-Pinnacle gap · fixed MLB study · pending data
55.8%
moneyline accuracy, 2025 point-in-time backtest · pending data
+0.026
Brier skill vs the coin-flip baseline · pending data
+8.8 pts
model-favored dogs vs Pinnacle's close · 2026-04-12 to 2026-06-15, n=291, tracked hypothesis