Models

FairLine's MLB, NHL, EPL, and NFL projections provide an independent baseline to read prices against. Game pages price from a separately labeled market reference.

Model role. Game pages show the Pinnacle no-vig line when it is available and label model rows separately. The numbers below are independent estimates from free public data. The fixed MLB benchmark measured a 4.2-point mean absolute gap from the Pinnacle close. A forward, preregistered version of that comparison is pending data. The transparency page publishes that study and live graded calibration for every model sport. Use the projections as context when a market is thin or moving. How accurate? →